Daily FX Report -UK GDP Decline

Pound Sterling (GBP)

The Pound dropped sharply after UK GDP data showed a 0.3% decline in April, falling short of expectations. Investors are increasingly worried about how the Labour government’s £190 billion spending plan will be financed, especially with taxes already at historic highs and interest on national debt rising. These concerns are amplified by poor manufacturing figures, a worsening trade deficit, and falling employment, all of which point to potential fiscal instability. As a result, confidence in the Pound is fading due to doubts about the UK’s economic direction and long-term viability.

Euro (EUR)

The Euro is gaining strength as traders move away from both the U.S. Dollar and the British Pound. This shift is driven by growing concerns about U.S. trade tensions and the UK’s shaky fiscal outlook. President Trump’s renewed tariff threats and the UK’s economic headwinds are pushing investors toward the Euro, which is being viewed as a relatively stable option. The Euro is approaching its highest level against the Dollar since the start of 2025, and it’s also climbing against the Pound thanks to the Eurozone’s comparatively steady economic and political landscape.

U.S. Dollar (USD)

The Dollar weakened after inflation data came in below expectations, leading markets to anticipate interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve. Both overall and core inflation figures missed forecasts, sparking a broad decline in the Dollar. Adding to the pressure, President Trump’s ongoing trade disputes with China are stirring uncertainty. Investors worry that new tariffs could drive up prices without prompting the Fed to adjust its policy, potentially hurting the economy. These factors are currently keeping the Dollar under pressure in the near term.